Saint Martin vs Bahamas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Saint Martinvs
BahamasThe model puts Saint Martin at 91%. The model leans toward Saint Martin. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Saint Martin have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bahamas have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Saint Martin is priced at 1.02.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 17 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 17 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 11 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Saint Martin at 91%. The model puts the draw at 6%. The model puts Bahamas at 3%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Saint Martin. Saint Martin is priced at 1.02. The draw is priced at 15. Bahamas is priced at 29.
Bahamas have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Saint Martin have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Bahamas have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Bahamas are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Saint Martin or Bahamas?
Our model rates Saint Martin as the most likely outcome at 91% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Saint Martin vs Bahamas?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Saint Martin wins, 0 draws, 1 Bahamas wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.