Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Team Comparison

Crystal Palace Crystal PalacevsNewcastle United Newcastle United

Comparing Crystal Palace and Newcastle United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Newcastle United — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Newcastle United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Crystal PalaceMetricNewcastle United
45Strength rating51
35%Win probability39%
L W L D WRecent formL W L W D
4Head-to-head wins7
1.32Expected goals1.28
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Crystal Palace or Newcastle United?

The model favours Newcastle United at 39%, with the draw at 26%.