Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur: Team Comparison
ChelseavsTottenham Hotspur 
Comparing Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chelsea — a 55% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Chelsea carry the stronger recent form, Chelsea project for more goals (1.81 xG), Chelsea have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Chelsea | Metric | Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Strength rating | 34 |
| 55% | Win probability | 22% |
| W L D W L | Recent form | D L L D D |
| 11 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.81 | Expected goals | 0.83 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Chelsea or Tottenham Hotspur?
The model favours Chelsea at 55%, with the draw at 22%.