AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: Team Comparison
AZ AlkmaarvsTwente 
Comparing AZ Alkmaar and Twente across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward AZ Alkmaar — a 45% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: AZ Alkmaar project for more goals (2.18 xG), AZ Alkmaar have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| AZ Alkmaar | Metric | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Strength rating | 54 |
| 45% | Win probability | 32% |
| W D W L W | Recent form | W L W D W |
| 8 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 2.18 | Expected goals | 1.50 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, AZ Alkmaar or Twente?
The model favours AZ Alkmaar at 45%, with the draw at 23%.