Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: Team Comparison
Fortuna SittardvsExcelsior 
Comparing Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Fortuna Sittard — a 40% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Fortuna Sittard carry the stronger recent form, Fortuna Sittard project for more goals (1.60 xG), Fortuna Sittard have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Fortuna Sittard | Metric | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 40% | Win probability | 35% |
| D D W W L | Recent form | L L D L D |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 1.60 | Expected goals | 1.31 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Fortuna Sittard or Excelsior?
The model favours Fortuna Sittard at 40%, with the draw at 25%.