TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Team Comparison
TSG 1899 HoffenheimvsBayer 04 Leverkusen 
Comparing TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Bayer 04 Leverkusen across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bayer 04 Leverkusen — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bayer 04 Leverkusen carry the stronger recent form, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 54 | Strength rating | 71 |
| 34% | Win probability | 42% |
| W W L L L | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 7 |
| 1.26 | Expected goals | 1.33 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
The model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 42%, with the draw at 23%.