1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: Team Comparison
1. FSV Mainz 05vsWerder Bremen 
Comparing 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward 1. FSV Mainz 05 — a 54% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Werder Bremen carry the stronger recent form, 1. FSV Mainz 05 project for more goals (1.78 xG), 1. FSV Mainz 05 have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Metric | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Strength rating | 58 |
| 54% | Win probability | 24% |
| D L L D L | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.78 | Expected goals | 0.86 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Werder Bremen?
The model favours 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 54%, with the draw at 22%.