Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: Team Comparison
Rayo VallecanovsElche 
Comparing Rayo Vallecano and Elche across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Rayo Vallecano — a 53% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Rayo Vallecano carry the stronger recent form, Rayo Vallecano project for more goals (1.48 xG), Elche have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Rayo Vallecano | Metric | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 53% | Win probability | 22% |
| D D W L W | Recent form | D W L D L |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 8 |
| 1.48 | Expected goals | 0.70 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Rayo Vallecano or Elche?
The model favours Rayo Vallecano at 53%, with the draw at 24%.