Minnesota United vs St. Louis City: Team Comparison
Minnesota UnitedvsSt. Louis City 
Comparing Minnesota United and St. Louis City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Minnesota United — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: St. Louis City carry the stronger recent form, Minnesota United project for more goals (1.94 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Minnesota United | Metric | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Strength rating | 56 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| W D D L L | Recent form | W L D W W |
| 1.94 | Expected goals | 1.50 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Minnesota United or St. Louis City?
The model favours Minnesota United at 41%, with the draw at 27%.