New York Red Bulls vs Toronto: Team Comparison
New York Red BullsvsToronto 
Comparing New York Red Bulls and Toronto across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward New York Red Bulls — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Toronto carry the stronger recent form, New York Red Bulls project for more goals (1.33 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| New York Red Bulls | Metric | Toronto |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Strength rating | 57 |
| 39% | Win probability | 35% |
| L L W L D | Recent form | W D W L L |
| 1.33 | Expected goals | 1.13 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, New York Red Bulls or Toronto?
The model favours New York Red Bulls at 39%, with the draw at 26%.