Neftchi Fergana vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah: Team Comparison
Neftchi FerganavsAl-Ittihad Jeddah 
Comparing Neftchi Fergana and Al-Ittihad Jeddah across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Al-Ittihad Jeddah — a 59% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Al-Ittihad Jeddah carry the stronger recent form, Al-Ittihad Jeddah project for more goals (1.72 xG), Neftchi Fergana have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Neftchi Fergana | Metric | Al-Ittihad Jeddah |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Strength rating | 69 |
| 20% | Win probability | 59% |
| L W W L D | Recent form | W W W L D |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 0.83 | Expected goals | 1.72 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Neftchi Fergana or Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
The model favours Al-Ittihad Jeddah at 59%, with the draw at 21%.