Chapecoense vs Fluminense: Team Comparison
ChapecoensevsFluminense 
Comparing Chapecoense and Fluminense across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Fluminense — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Fluminense project for more goals (1.24 xG), Fluminense have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Chapecoense | Metric | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | Strength rating | 54 |
| 27% | Win probability | 49% |
| D W W L L | Recent form | L W L D D |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 0.88 | Expected goals | 1.24 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Chapecoense or Fluminense?
The model favours Fluminense at 49%, with the draw at 24%.