Aston Villa vs Fulham: Team Comparison

Aston Villa Aston VillavsFulham Fulham

Comparing Aston Villa and Fulham across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Aston Villa — a 45% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Aston Villa project for more goals (0.85 xG), Fulham have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Aston VillaMetricFulham
49Strength rating49
45%Win probability30%
L L D W DRecent formL W L D W
5Head-to-head wins10
0.85Expected goals0.56
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Aston Villa or Fulham?

The model favours Aston Villa at 45%, with the draw at 25%.