Liverpool vs Arsenal: Team Comparison
LiverpoolvsArsenal 
Comparing Liverpool and Arsenal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Arsenal — a 45% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Arsenal carry the stronger recent form, Arsenal project for more goals (1.18 xG), Arsenal have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Liverpool | Metric | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 42 | Strength rating | 60 |
| 29% | Win probability | 45% |
| D W L L L | Recent form | L W W W W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 7 |
| 0.96 | Expected goals | 1.18 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Liverpool or Arsenal?
The model favours Arsenal at 45%, with the draw at 26%.