Chelsea vs Manchester United: Team Comparison
ChelseavsManchester United 
Comparing Chelsea and Manchester United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chelsea — a 53% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Chelsea carry the stronger recent form, Chelsea project for more goals (2.46 xG), Manchester United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Chelsea | Metric | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Strength rating | 37 |
| 53% | Win probability | 25% |
| W W L D W | Recent form | L D L D D |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 2.46 | Expected goals | 1.24 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Chelsea or Manchester United?
The model favours Chelsea at 53%, with the draw at 22%.