Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire: Team Comparison
Atlanta UnitedvsChicago Fire 
Comparing Atlanta United and Chicago Fire across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chicago Fire — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Chicago Fire carry the stronger recent form, Chicago Fire have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Atlanta United | Metric | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Strength rating | 68 |
| 35% | Win probability | 42% |
| L W L L W | Recent form | W W W D W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.50 | Expected goals | 1.57 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Atlanta United or Chicago Fire?
The model favours Chicago Fire at 42%, with the draw at 23%.