Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: Team Comparison
Athletic BilbaovsReal Sociedad 
Comparing Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Athletic Bilbao — a 50% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Athletic Bilbao carry the stronger recent form, Athletic Bilbao project for more goals (1.72 xG), Real Sociedad have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Athletic Bilbao | Metric | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Strength rating | 37 |
| 50% | Win probability | 24% |
| W W D L W | Recent form | L D D L D |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.72 | Expected goals | 0.92 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Athletic Bilbao or Real Sociedad?
The model favours Athletic Bilbao at 50%, with the draw at 26%.