Porto vs Napoli: Team Comparison
PortovsNapoli 
Comparing Porto and Napoli across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Porto — a 46% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Porto project for more goals (0.80 xG), Porto have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Porto | Metric | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 46% | Win probability | 29% |
| W L L W W | Recent form | D W L L W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 0.80 | Expected goals | 0.51 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Porto or Napoli?
The model favours Porto at 46%, with the draw at 26%.