Toulouse vs Troyes AC: Team Comparison
ToulousevsTroyes AC 
Comparing Toulouse and Troyes AC across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Toulouse — a 62% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Toulouse carry the stronger recent form, Toulouse project for more goals (1.07 xG), Toulouse have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Toulouse | Metric | Troyes AC |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | Strength rating | 23 |
| 62% | Win probability | 17% |
| W D L W D | Recent form | L L D L L |
| 9 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.07 | Expected goals | 0.37 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Toulouse or Troyes AC?
The model favours Toulouse at 62%, with the draw at 20%.