Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon: Team Comparison
Paris Saint-GermainvsLyon 
Comparing Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Paris Saint-Germain — a 69% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 17%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Paris Saint-Germain carry the stronger recent form, Paris Saint-Germain project for more goals (1.75 xG), Paris Saint-Germain have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Paris Saint-Germain | Metric | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| 91 | Strength rating | 34 |
| 69% | Win probability | 14% |
| W W W W W | Recent form | L W W L W |
| 11 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.75 | Expected goals | 0.46 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Paris Saint-Germain or Lyon?
The model favours Paris Saint-Germain at 69%, with the draw at 17%.