Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa: Team Comparison
Al-Ahli JeddahvsAl-Gharafa 
Comparing Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Gharafa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Al-Ahli Jeddah — a 84% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 10%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Al-Ahli Jeddah carry the stronger recent form, Al-Ahli Jeddah project for more goals (3.10 xG), Al-Ahli Jeddah have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | Metric | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| 93 | Strength rating | 28 |
| 84% | Win probability | 5% |
| W W W W L | Recent form | D D L L W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 3.10 | Expected goals | 0.33 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Al-Ahli Jeddah or Al-Gharafa?
The model favours Al-Ahli Jeddah at 84%, with the draw at 10%.