Napoli vs Lazio: Team Comparison
NapolivsLazio 
Comparing Napoli and Lazio across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Napoli — a 40% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Lazio carry the stronger recent form, Napoli project for more goals (2.38 xG), Napoli have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Napoli | Metric | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Strength rating | 66 |
| 40% | Win probability | 37% |
| L L W D W | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 2.38 | Expected goals | 2.03 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Napoli or Lazio?
The model favours Napoli at 40%, with the draw at 24%.