Chelsea vs Leeds United: Team Comparison
ChelseavsLeeds United 
Comparing Chelsea and Leeds United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chelsea — a 57% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Chelsea carry the stronger recent form, Chelsea project for more goals (2.60 xG), Chelsea have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Chelsea | Metric | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 57% | Win probability | 21% |
| W L L W W | Recent form | W L D D L |
| 10 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.60 | Expected goals | 1.11 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Chelsea or Leeds United?
The model favours Chelsea at 57%, with the draw at 22%.