Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: Team Comparison
Rayo VallecanovsValencia 
Comparing Rayo Vallecano and Valencia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Rayo Vallecano — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Rayo Vallecano carry the stronger recent form, Rayo Vallecano project for more goals (1.17 xG), Valencia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Rayo Vallecano | Metric | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| 66 | Strength rating | 41 |
| 48% | Win probability | 25% |
| W W W D D | Recent form | L W W D D |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.17 | Expected goals | 0.66 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Rayo Vallecano or Valencia?
The model favours Rayo Vallecano at 48%, with the draw at 27%.