Austria vs Israel: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Austriavs
IsraelThe model puts Austria at 66%. The model leans toward Austria. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Austria.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Austria have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Israel have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Austria have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Austria is priced at 1.38.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Austria at 66%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Israel at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Austria. Austria is priced at 1.38. The draw is priced at 4.92. Israel is priced at 7.8.
Austria have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Israel have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Austria have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Israel have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Austria or Israel?
Our model rates Austria as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Austria vs Israel?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Austria wins, 1 draws, 2 Israel wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Republic of North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.