Andorra vs Malta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Andorravs
MaltaThe model puts Malta at 35%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Andorra.
- −The head-to-head record favours Andorra (2-4-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Andorra have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Malta have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Andorra have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Malta is priced at 2.544.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Andorra at 34%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Malta at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Andorra is priced at 3.22. The draw is priced at 2.86. Malta is priced at 2.544.
Andorra have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Andorra have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Malta have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Andorra or Malta?
Our model rates Malta as the most likely outcome at 35% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Andorra vs Malta?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Andorra wins, 4 draws, 0 Malta wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League D| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.