Georgia vs Northern Ireland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Georgiavs
Northern IrelandThe model puts Georgia at 49%. The model leans toward Georgia. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Georgia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Northern Ireland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Georgia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Georgia is priced at 1.925.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Georgia at 49%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Northern Ireland at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Georgia. Georgia is priced at 1.925. The draw is priced at 3.5. Northern Ireland is priced at 4.02.
Georgia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Georgia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Northern Ireland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Georgia or Northern Ireland?
Our model rates Georgia as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Georgia wins, 0 draws, 0 Northern Ireland wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Republic of North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.