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UEFA Nations League

Republic of North Macedonia vs Switzerland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Republic of North Macedonia Republic of North MacedoniavsSwitzerland Switzerland
Our predictionSwitzerland to win
Model score: Medium · 44/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Switzerland at 65%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Republic of North Macedonia14%
Draw21%
2 · Switzerland65%
1 · Republic of North MacedoniaDraw2 · Switzerland
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.80+8.3%
1X2Switzerland1.45+0.0%
1X2Republic of North Macedonia6.90+0.0%
1X2Draw4.54+0.0%
BTTSYes1.92-8.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Republic of North Macedonia
38
Switzerland
69

Most likely scorelines

0-114.6%
0-214.4%
0-39.5%
1-19.2%
1-29.1%
0-07.4%

Expected goals

0.63Republic of North Macedonia
xG
1.97Switzerland
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score40%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Republic of North Macedonia Switzerland

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Switzerland win1.45Fair
Double chanceSwitzerland or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
071514952
1599631
21332
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Republic of North Macedonia at 14%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Switzerland at 65%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Switzerland. Republic of North Macedonia is priced at 6.9. The draw is priced at 4.54. Switzerland is priced at 1.45.

The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Republic of North Macedonia or Switzerland?

Our model rates Switzerland as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Republic of North Macedonia vs Switzerland?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Nations League - League B
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Switzerland00000:00
2Republic of North Macedonia00000:00
3Scotland00000:00
4Slovenia00000:00
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A) Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A/B - Relegation) UEFA Nations League (League B/C - Relegation) Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.