Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Faroe Islandsvs
KazakhstanThe model puts Faroe Islands at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Faroe Islands.
- +The head-to-head record favours Faroe Islands (2-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Faroe Islands have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kazakhstan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Faroe Islands have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Faroe Islands is priced at 2.595.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Faroe Islands at 40%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Kazakhstan at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Faroe Islands is priced at 2.595. The draw is priced at 3.2. Kazakhstan is priced at 2.81.
Faroe Islands have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Kazakhstan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Faroe Islands have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kazakhstan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Faroe Islands or Kazakhstan?
Our model rates Faroe Islands as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Faroe Islands wins, 1 draws, 1 Kazakhstan wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League C| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.