Wolaitta Dicha vs Negele Arsi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Wolaitta Dicha (36% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Wolaitta Dicha have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Wolaitta Dicha have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Wolaitta Dicha and Negele Arsi. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 36% for Wolaitta Dicha, 30% for the draw and 34% for Negele Arsi.
Several signals point toward Wolaitta Dicha. The odds point to a clear favourite. Wolaitta Dicha have home advantage.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 Wolaitta Dicha wins, 1 draws and 0 Negele Arsi wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Wolaitta Dicha show D-D-W-L-D across their recent outings, while Negele Arsi read D-L-L-W-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wolaitta Dicha or Negele Arsi?
Our model rates Wolaitta Dicha as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wolaitta Dicha vs Negele Arsi?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Wolaitta Dicha wins, 1 draws, 0 Negele Arsi wins.
League table
Ethiopia. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 38:20 | 58 | |
| 2 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 42:24 | 53 | |
| 3 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 32:25 | 52 | |
| 4 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 27:22 | 46 | |
| 5 | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 36:36 | 46 | |
| 6 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 24:26 | 46 | |
| 7 | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:26 | 45 | |
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26:23 | 45 | |
| 9 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 32:29 | 43 | |
| 10 | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 26:29 | 43 | |
| 11 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 28:25 | 42 | |
| 12 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 40:38 | 42 | |
| 13 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 28:32 | 42 | |
| 14 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 29:29 | 40 | |
| 15 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 29:33 | 40 | |
| 16 | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 30:33 | 39 | |
| 17 | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 20:27 | 37 | |
| 18 | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 21:36 | 35 | |
| 19 | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 23:35 | 34 | |
| 20 | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 25:40 | 29 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.