Platense vs Coquimbo Unido: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Platensevs
Coquimbo UnidoThe model puts Platense at 48%. The model leans toward Platense. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Coquimbo Unido.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Platense have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Coquimbo Unido have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Platense is priced at 1.912.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Platense at 48%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Coquimbo Unido at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Platense. Platense is priced at 1.912. The draw is priced at 3.136. Coquimbo Unido is priced at 4.72.
Platense have 1 wins in their last 4 matches. Coquimbo Unido have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Platense or Coquimbo Unido?
Our model rates Platense as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Platense vs Coquimbo Unido?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.