Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fluminensevs
Independiente RivadaviaThe model puts Fluminense at 54%. The model leans toward Fluminense. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Independiente Rivadavia.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Fluminense have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Independiente Rivadavia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fluminense have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Fluminense is priced at 1.68.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Fluminense at 54%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Independiente Rivadavia at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Fluminense. Fluminense is priced at 1.68. The draw is priced at 3.7. Independiente Rivadavia is priced at 5.3.
Fluminense have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Fluminense have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Independiente Rivadavia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fluminense or Independiente Rivadavia?
Our model rates Fluminense as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Fluminense wins, 1 draws, 0 Independiente Rivadavia wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.