Estudiantes de La Plata vs Universidad Catolica Santiago: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Estudiantes de La Platavs
Universidad Catolica SantiagoThe model puts Estudiantes de La Plata at 58%. The model leans toward Estudiantes de La Plata. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Estudiantes de La Plata.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Estudiantes de La Plata have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Universidad Catolica Santiago have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Estudiantes de La Plata is priced at 1.59.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Estudiantes de La Plata at 58%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Universidad Catolica Santiago at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Estudiantes de La Plata. Estudiantes de La Plata is priced at 1.59. The draw is priced at 3.8. Universidad Catolica Santiago is priced at 6.2.
Estudiantes de La Plata have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Universidad Catolica Santiago have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 54% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Estudiantes de La Plata or Universidad Catolica Santiago?
Our model rates Estudiantes de La Plata as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Universidad Catolica Santiago?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.