Tampere United vs Oulun Luistinseura: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tampere Unitedvs
Oulun LuistinseuraOur model leans Tampere United (45% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −The head-to-head record favours Oulun Luistinseura (1-2-2).
- +Recent form favours Tampere United.
- +Tampere United have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Oulun Luistinseura (1-2-2).
- Recent form favours Tampere United.
- Tampere United have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Tampere United and Oulun Luistinseura. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 45% for Tampere United, 27% for the draw and 28% for Oulun Luistinseura.
Several signals point toward Tampere United. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Tampere United. Tampere United have home advantage.
Across the last 5 meetings, the record reads 1 Tampere United wins, 2 draws and 2 Oulun Luistinseura wins. Recent scorelines: 0-2, 1-3, 2-2, 0-0, 2-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Tampere United show W-W-W-W-L across their recent outings, while Oulun Luistinseura read W-D-L-L-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tampere United or Oulun Luistinseura?
Our model rates Tampere United as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tampere United vs Oulun Luistinseura?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 1 Tampere United wins, 2 draws, 2 Oulun Luistinseura wins.
League table
Finland. Ykkonen. Division 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Oulun Luistinseura | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  RoPS | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Jyvaskyla | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:18 | 18 |
| 5 |  SalPa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20:17 | 15 |
| 6 |  Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 7 |  VJS Vantaa | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 8 |  Jazz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 9 |  Inter Turku II | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 20:24 | 11 |
| 10 |  KuPS Akatemia | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tampereen Pallo-Veikot | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9:19 | 6 |
| 12 |  KPV | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7:38 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.