Cruzeiro Esporte Clube vs Flamengo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cruzeiro Esporte Clubevs
FlamengoThe model puts Flamengo at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Cruzeiro Esporte Clube (4-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cruzeiro Esporte Clube have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Flamengo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cruzeiro Esporte Clube have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Flamengo is priced at 2.504.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cruzeiro Esporte Clube at 34%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Flamengo at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Cruzeiro Esporte Clube is priced at 3.03. The draw is priced at 3.096. Flamengo is priced at 2.504.
Cruzeiro Esporte Clube have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Flamengo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cruzeiro Esporte Clube have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Flamengo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cruzeiro Esporte Clube or Flamengo?
Our model rates Flamengo as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cruzeiro Esporte Clube vs Flamengo?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Cruzeiro Esporte Clube wins, 1 draws, 1 Flamengo wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.