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Italy. Serie A

Internazionale Milano vs Monza 1912: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Internazionale Milano Internazionale MilanovsMonza 1912 Monza 1912
Our predictionInternazionale Milano to win
Model score: High · 87/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Internazionale Milano at 73%. The model leans toward Internazionale Milano. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Internazionale MilanoDraw2 · Monza 1912
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Monza 191213.50+6.4%
BTTSNo1.57+6.3%
1X2Draw6.60-1.1%
1X2Internazionale Milano1.21-5.3%
BTTSYes2.27-6.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Internazionale MilanoDLWWL
Monza 1912WDWWD
Team strength rating
Internazionale Milano
69
Monza 1912
52

Most likely scorelines

2-016.4%
1-015.0%
3-011.9%
2-18.1%
1-17.4%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.18Internazionale Milano
xG
0.50Monza 1912
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score35%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Internazionale Milano Monza 1912

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Internazionale Milano win1.21Avoid (-5.3%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
073
11572
21682
31261
463
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Internazionale Milano at 73%. The model puts the draw at 13%. The model puts Monza 1912 at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Internazionale Milano. Internazionale Milano is priced at 1.21. The draw is priced at 6.6. Monza 1912 is priced at 13.5.

Internazionale Milano have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Monza 1912 have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

Internazionale Milano have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Monza 1912 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Internazionale Milano or Monza 1912?

Our model rates Internazionale Milano as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Internazionale Milano vs Monza 1912?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings: 1 Internazionale Milano wins, 2 draws, 5 Monza 1912 wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Italy. Serie A
#TeamGPWLTGPtsForm
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna 190900000:006a24a7dd5e99bd05c636d2c0
3Frosinone Calcio00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese Calcio00000:00
7Monza 191200000:00
8Sassuolo Calcio00000:00
9Unione Venezia00000:00
10Roma00000:00
11Internazionale Milano00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:006a24a7dd5e99bd05c636d2c0
17Cagliari Calcio00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.