Celtic vs Dundee: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Celticvs
DundeeThe model puts Celtic at 77%. The model leans toward Celtic. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Dundee (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Celtic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dundee have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Celtic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Celtic is priced at 1.188.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Celtic at 77%. The model puts the draw at 13%. The model puts Dundee at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Celtic. Celtic is priced at 1.188. The draw is priced at 7.1. Dundee is priced at 12.
Celtic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Dundee have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Celtic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dundee have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 30% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Celtic or Dundee?
Our model rates Celtic as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Celtic vs Dundee?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Celtic wins, 1 draws, 4 Dundee wins.
League table
Scotland. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dundee United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Falkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Heart of Midlothian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Hibernian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Kilmarnock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Motherwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  St. Mirren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dundee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  St. Johnstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.