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Russia. Premier League

Dynamo Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Dynamo Moscow Dynamo MoscowvsKrylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
Our predictionDynamo Moscow to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Dynamo Moscow at 69%. The model leans toward Dynamo Moscow. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Dynamo MoscowDraw2 · Krylia Sovetov
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.87+13.9%
1X2Dynamo Moscow1.43+2.5%
1X2Krylia Sovetov7.20-1.0%
1X2Draw4.70-1.5%
BTTSYes1.85-13.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Dynamo MoscowWWWWW
Krylia SovetovLLLLD
Team strength rating
Dynamo Moscow
93
Krylia Sovetov
21

Most likely scorelines

2-015.8%
1-014.8%
3-011.3%
2-18.4%
1-17.9%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.14Dynamo Moscow
xG
0.53Krylia Sovetov
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score36%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Dynamo Moscow Krylia Sovetov

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Dynamo Moscow win1.43Fair (+2.5%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
074
11582
21682
31162
463
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Dynamo Moscow at 69%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Krylia Sovetov at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Dynamo Moscow. Dynamo Moscow is priced at 1.425. The draw is priced at 4.7. Krylia Sovetov is priced at 7.2.

Dynamo Moscow have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Krylia Sovetov have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Dynamo Moscow have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Dynamo Moscow are on 5 wins in a row. Krylia Sovetov have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Dynamo Moscow or Krylia Sovetov?

Our model rates Dynamo Moscow as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 5 Dynamo Moscow wins, 0 draws, 1 Krylia Sovetov wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Russia. Premier League
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Baltika Kaliningrad00000:00
2Rostov00000:00
3Orenburg00000:00
4Zenit Saint Petersburg00000:00
5Spartak Moscow00000:00
6CSKA Moscow00000:00
7Lokomotiv Moscow00000:00
8Dynamo Moscow00000:00
9Rubin Kazan00000:00
10Krylia Sovetov00000:00
11Akhmat00000:00
12Krasnodar00000:00
13Fakel Voronezh00000:00
14Akron Tolyatti00000:00
15Rodina Moscow00000:00
16Dynamo Makhachkala00000:00
Premier League (Relegation. Play-offs) Relegation - FNL Cup

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.