Dynamo Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Dynamo Moscow at 69%. The model leans toward Dynamo Moscow. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Dynamo Moscow.
- +The head-to-head record favours Dynamo Moscow (5-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dynamo Moscow have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Krylia Sovetov have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Moscow have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dynamo Moscow is priced at 1.425.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dynamo Moscow at 69%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Krylia Sovetov at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Dynamo Moscow. Dynamo Moscow is priced at 1.425. The draw is priced at 4.7. Krylia Sovetov is priced at 7.2.
Dynamo Moscow have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Krylia Sovetov have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Dynamo Moscow have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Dynamo Moscow are on 5 wins in a row. Krylia Sovetov have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dynamo Moscow or Krylia Sovetov?
Our model rates Dynamo Moscow as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Dynamo Moscow wins, 0 draws, 1 Krylia Sovetov wins.
League table
Russia. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.