Akron Tolyatti vs Rostov: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Akron Tolyattivs
RostovThe model puts Rostov at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Rostov.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Akron Tolyatti have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rostov have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Akron Tolyatti have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Rostov is priced at 2.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Akron Tolyatti at 33%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Rostov at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Akron Tolyatti is priced at 2.825. The draw is priced at 3.52. Rostov is priced at 2.41.
Akron Tolyatti have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Rostov have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Akron Tolyatti have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Rostov have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Akron Tolyatti or Rostov?
Our model rates Rostov as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Akron Tolyatti vs Rostov?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 3 Akron Tolyatti wins, 0 draws, 2 Rostov wins.
Odds movement
League table
Russian Cup (Group Stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Orenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Spartak Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Rubin Kazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.