Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylia Sovetov: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dynamo Makhachkalavs
Krylia SovetovThe model puts Dynamo Makhachkala at 46%. The model leans toward Dynamo Makhachkala. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Krylia Sovetov (2-0-4).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dynamo Makhachkala have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Krylia Sovetov have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Makhachkala have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dynamo Makhachkala is priced at 2.048.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Dynamo Makhachkala at 46%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Krylia Sovetov at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Dynamo Makhachkala. Dynamo Makhachkala is priced at 2.048. The draw is priced at 3.28. Krylia Sovetov is priced at 3.84.
Dynamo Makhachkala have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Krylia Sovetov have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Dynamo Makhachkala have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Krylia Sovetov have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dynamo Makhachkala or Krylia Sovetov?
Our model rates Dynamo Makhachkala as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylia Sovetov?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Dynamo Makhachkala wins, 0 draws, 4 Krylia Sovetov wins.
League table
Russian Cup (Group Stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Orenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Spartak Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Rubin Kazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.