Unione Venezia vs Lecce: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Unione Veneziavs
LecceThe model puts Unione Venezia at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Unione Venezia (7-7-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Unione Venezia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lecce have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Unione Venezia have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Unione Venezia is priced at 2.344.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Unione Venezia at 43%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Lecce at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Unione Venezia is priced at 2.344. The draw is priced at 3.192. Lecce is priced at 3.192.
Unione Venezia have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Lecce have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 7 of their head-to-head meetings.
Unione Venezia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Lecce have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Unione Venezia or Lecce?
Our model rates Unione Venezia as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Unione Venezia vs Lecce?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Unione Venezia wins, 7 draws, 1 Lecce wins.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Bologna 1909 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a24a7dd5e99bd05c636d2c0 |
| 3 |  Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Udinese Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Monza 1912 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | Unione Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 |  Internazionale Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 |  Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a24a7dd5e99bd05c636d2c0 |
| 17 |  Cagliari Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 19 |  Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 20 |  Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.