Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Queens Park Rangersvs
MillwallThe model puts Queens Park Rangers at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Millwall.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Queens Park Rangers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Millwall have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queens Park Rangers have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Queens Park Rangers is priced at 2.36.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Queens Park Rangers at 38%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Millwall at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Queens Park Rangers is priced at 2.36. The draw is priced at 3.44. Millwall is priced at 2.83.
Queens Park Rangers have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Millwall have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Queens Park Rangers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Millwall have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Millwall are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Queens Park Rangers or Millwall?
Our model rates Queens Park Rangers as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Queens Park Rangers wins, 4 draws, 5 Millwall wins.
Match statistics
Queens Park Rangers
- 1Charles
- 3Dunne J.
- 5Edwards
- 10Chair
- 11Smyth P.
- 12Kemper
- 16Burrell R.
- 20Vale H.
- 22Kone
- 24Madsen
- 27Мбенге
Millwall
- 1Jensen
- 3Sturge
- 5Cooper D.
- 6Taylor
- 10Neghli
- 11Azeez
- 14Metcalfe
- 18Leonard R.
- 19Coburn
- 24de Norre
- 25Cundle L.
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)
Half-time score: Queens Park Rangers 0 – 0 Millwall.
Millwall make it count (Cundle L. (54')). It's 0–1 at this point.
Queens Park Rangers make it count (Sykes M. (86')). It's 1–1 at this point.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.