Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton Wanderers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Bolton Wanderers at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sheffield Wednesday have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bolton Wanderers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sheffield Wednesday have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bolton Wanderers is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Sheffield Wednesday at 30%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Bolton Wanderers at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Bolton Wanderers. Sheffield Wednesday is priced at 3.185. The draw is priced at 3.52. Bolton Wanderers is priced at 2.13.
Sheffield Wednesday have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Bolton Wanderers have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sheffield Wednesday have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Bolton Wanderers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sheffield Wednesday or Bolton Wanderers?
Our model rates Bolton Wanderers as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton Wanderers?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Sheffield Wednesday wins, 5 draws, 6 Bolton Wanderers wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.