Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Stockport County at 55%. The model leans toward Stockport County. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Stockport County.
- −The head-to-head record favours Doncaster Rovers (3-1-5).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Stockport County have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Doncaster Rovers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stockport County have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Stockport County is priced at 1.74.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Stockport County at 55%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Doncaster Rovers at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Stockport County. Stockport County is priced at 1.74. The draw is priced at 3.84. Doncaster Rovers is priced at 4.3.
Stockport County have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Doncaster Rovers have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Stockport County have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Stockport County are on 2 wins in a row. Doncaster Rovers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stockport County or Doncaster Rovers?
Our model rates Stockport County as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 9 meetings: 3 Stockport County wins, 1 draws, 5 Doncaster Rovers wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.