Rotherham United vs West Bromwich Albion: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rotherham Unitedvs
West Bromwich AlbionThe model puts West Bromwich Albion at 57%. The model leans toward West Bromwich Albion. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Rotherham United.
- −The head-to-head record favours Rotherham United (7-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rotherham United have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- West Bromwich Albion have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rotherham United have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- West Bromwich Albion is priced at 1.525.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rotherham United at 23%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts West Bromwich Albion at 57%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward West Bromwich Albion. Rotherham United is priced at 5.34. The draw is priced at 4.41. West Bromwich Albion is priced at 1.525.
Rotherham United have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. West Bromwich Albion have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Rotherham United have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Rotherham United are on 4 wins in a row. West Bromwich Albion have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rotherham United or West Bromwich Albion?
Our model rates West Bromwich Albion as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rotherham United vs West Bromwich Albion?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 7 Rotherham United wins, 2 draws, 3 West Bromwich Albion wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.