West Ham United vs Portsmouth: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts West Ham United at 67%. The model leans toward West Ham United. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Portsmouth are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- West Ham United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Portsmouth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- West Ham United have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- West Ham United will be without Soucek T..
- Portsmouth will be without Murphy J, Ogilvie C., Pack M., Kosznovszky, Anderson Ke., Bursik J., Franco Umeh, Blair.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts West Ham United at 67%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Portsmouth at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward West Ham United. West Ham United is priced at 1.39. The draw is priced at 4.7. Portsmouth is priced at 7.38.
West Ham United have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Portsmouth have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
West Ham United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Portsmouth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, West Ham United or Portsmouth?
Our model rates West Ham United as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for West Ham United vs Portsmouth?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 4 West Ham United wins, 4 draws, 6 Portsmouth wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.