Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Stoke Cityvs
Oldham AthleticThe model puts Stoke City at 66%. The model leans toward Stoke City. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Oldham Athletic.
- +The head-to-head record favours Stoke City (9-2-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Stoke City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Oldham Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stoke City have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Stoke City is priced at 1.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Stoke City at 66%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Oldham Athletic at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Stoke City. Stoke City is priced at 1.41. The draw is priced at 4.6. Oldham Athletic is priced at 7.09.
Stoke City have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Oldham Athletic have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Stoke City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Oldham Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stoke City or Oldham Athletic?
Our model rates Stoke City as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 Stoke City wins, 2 draws, 4 Oldham Athletic wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.