Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bristol Roversvs
Peterborough UnitedThe model puts Bristol Rovers at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Peterborough United (2-5-8).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bristol Rovers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Peterborough United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bristol Rovers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bristol Rovers is priced at 2.395.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Bristol Rovers at 38%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Peterborough United at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Bristol Rovers is priced at 2.395. The draw is priced at 3.4. Peterborough United is priced at 2.811.
Bristol Rovers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Peterborough United have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Bristol Rovers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Peterborough United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bristol Rovers or Peterborough United?
Our model rates Bristol Rovers as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Bristol Rovers wins, 5 draws, 8 Peterborough United wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.