Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Burton Albionvs
Blackburn RoversThe model puts Blackburn Rovers at 49%. The model leans toward Blackburn Rovers. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Burton Albion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Blackburn Rovers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Blackburn Rovers is priced at 1.89.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Burton Albion at 24%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Blackburn Rovers at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Blackburn Rovers. Burton Albion is priced at 4.035. The draw is priced at 3.44. Blackburn Rovers is priced at 1.89.
The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Burton Albion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Blackburn Rovers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Burton Albion or Blackburn Rovers?
Our model rates Blackburn Rovers as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Burton Albion wins, 2 draws, 0 Blackburn Rovers wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.