Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cheltenham Townvs
Charlton AthleticThe model puts Charlton Athletic at 56%. The model leans toward Charlton Athletic. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Charlton Athletic.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cheltenham Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Charlton Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cheltenham Town have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Charlton Athletic is priced at 1.66.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Cheltenham Town at 18%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Charlton Athletic at 56%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Charlton Athletic. Cheltenham Town is priced at 5.03. The draw is priced at 3.72. Charlton Athletic is priced at 1.66.
Cheltenham Town have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Charlton Athletic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cheltenham Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Charlton Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cheltenham Town or Charlton Athletic?
Our model rates Charlton Athletic as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 3 Cheltenham Town wins, 2 draws, 2 Charlton Athletic wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.